Tuesday, April 22, 2008
A Lost Nomination
It's D-Day in PA.
I think Obama's failure to put Hillary away over the last six weeks is likely to cost him the nomination. It doesn't automatically give her the prize. But, by any estimation, he is a significantly more bruised candidate than he was before the long march to this primary. Hillary, not so much (i.e., we knew everything there was about her characterwise beforehand).
A narrow win allows Hillary to stay in the race (what other errors can she force Obama to make?). A large win forces Democratic superdelegates to think about whether the cerebral Obama has the intestinal fortitude to slog it out with John McCain.
Yeah, I'm crazy, but I still think Hillary will be the Democratic nominee.
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I think Obama's failure to put Hillary away over the last six weeks is likely to cost him the nomination. It doesn't automatically give her the prize. But, by any estimation, he is a significantly more bruised candidate than he was before the long march to this primary. Hillary, not so much (i.e., we knew everything there was about her characterwise beforehand).
A narrow win allows Hillary to stay in the race (what other errors can she force Obama to make?). A large win forces Democratic superdelegates to think about whether the cerebral Obama has the intestinal fortitude to slog it out with John McCain.
Yeah, I'm crazy, but I still think Hillary will be the Democratic nominee.
Labels: Barack Obama, Democratic 2008 Presidential, Hillary Clinton
